Analysis: Assembly Elections Exit Polls A Wake-Up Call For BJP Ahead Of 2024 Lok Sabha Election? | India News

Six months forward of the essential Lok Sabha Elections 2024, 5 states went to polls and the outcomes for them might be out on December 3. While the exit ballot outcomes have been declared right this moment, the survey paints a grim image for the BJP which might be searching for a 3rd time period for Prime Minister Narendra Modi in 2024. In 2023 alone, six mid-sized to large states went to the polls. This contains Tripura, Karnataka, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Telangana. While the BJP managed to retain Tripura with a decreased vote share, it confronted a humiliating defeat in Karnataka. The occasion has additionally been compelled to ally with the JJP in Haryana after failing to safe a majority. Now, the occasion is dealing with a stiff problem in Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan whereas it seems to have failed in uprooting the Congress authorities in Chhattisgarh. On the opposite hand, its dream of profitable a superb quantity of seats in Telangana additionally seems to have crash-landed with the Congress being projected because the winner. 

Also Read- Rajasthan Exit Poll 2023: BJP Gains In Ashok Gehlot vs Sachin Pilot Tussle But…

While the saffron occasion’s ballot guarantees made throughout campaigning in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh confirmed that it is able to concede floor on sure points, the exit polls trace that the harm has already been executed. The key situation that’s swinging the ballot outcomes are paper leaks, excessive costs of LPG cylinders and petrol which impacts the poor and the center class essentially the most. While the BJP promised to additional subsidize LPG and minimize VAT on petrol if voted to energy in Rajasthan, the problems will not be restricted to the desert state solely. The excessive LPG and petrol costs have an effect on Indians throughout demography and the inflation has added salt to the injuries of the poor.

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On the opposite hand, the BJP is dealing with a problem to match the guarantees like month-to-month monetary help, free electrical energy and bus rides as promised by the Congress and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP). The saffron occasion tried to mitigate that problem by launching the Ladli Behan Yojana in Madhya Pradesh, the educational got here solely after the occasion confronted an enormous setback in Karnataka. Since 2019, the BJP has already suffered setbacks in lots of states and the variety of states dominated by the saffron occasion has decreased considerably with the occasion dropping Himachal Pradesh, Bihar, and Jharkhand and Tamil Nadu (alliance with AIADMK). 

Also Read: Chhattisgarh Exit Poll 2023: BJP vs Congress – Will Bhupesh Baghel Return?

The BJP has indicated that it is keen to decrease the LPG & petrol costs (in Rajasthan) whereas doubling the PM Kisan Samman Nidhi quantity. However, the occasion must show its intentions by implementing these guarantees no matter the December 3 outcomes of the 5 states. On the opposite hand, Congress has alredy been offering free electrical energy and cheaper LPG within the states it guidelines.

Also Read: Telangana Exit Poll 2023: Can Congress Stop KCR-BRS Juggernaut Or Will BJP Spring A Surprise?

The Congress occasion seems to have emerged stronger within the final 4 years with the occasion profitable Himachal, Karnataka and now Telangana as properly if the exit polls are to be believed. If it manages to retain Chhattisgarh as predicted, the occasion will emerge stronger and assured among the many INDIA alliance. The Congress has already realised that welfare schemes and guarantees do play a essential function in polls and the identical has already been proved in Karnataka and Himachal Pradesh as properly. By retaining Chhattisgarh and profitable Telangana, the Congress may give some sleepless nights to the BJP forward of the 2024 parliamentary polls.