India’s eight core sectors’ output growth spurted to a three-month high of 6.7% in February, led by double-digit upticks in coal, pure fuel and cement whilst fertilisers’ manufacturing fell 9.5% to document the sharpest contraction since May 2021.
January’s Index of Core Industries (ICI) was revised to replicate a 4.1% rise, in contrast with the earlier estimate of 3.6%, however that remained the slowest growth in 15 months. This is the second month in a row that fertilisers output dipped year-on-year, and marks the primary such streak in two years.
In absolute phrases, total output ranges have been at a three-month low and 4.9% beneath January’s ranges, which had marked a ten-month high. In sequential phrases, the one section to document an uptick over January’s manufacturing degree was Cement (up 1.74%).
In year-on-year phrases, crude oil manufacturing rose 7.9% in February, the best uptick recorded in a minimum of 9 years, whereas the 11.3% uptick in pure fuel output was a two-year high. February’s growth charges have been the best in 4 months for Cement (10.2%), Electricity (6.3%), and Coal (11.6%).
While Steel manufacturing growth eased barely to 8.4% in February, refinery merchandise recovered from a 4.3% contraction in January to rise 2.6%.
The ICI has a weightage of barely over 40% weightage in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) so economists anticipate industrial output growth to get well from the three.8% uptick recorded in January.
ICRA chief economist Aditi Nayar reckoned the IIP would document an growth of 6%-6.5% in February, whereas Bank of Baroda’s chief economist Madan Sabnavis pegged it in the vary of 4% to 5%.
“The 6.7% uptick in February reversed the declining trend seen in December and January and cumulative growth so far in 2023-24 has been smart at 7.7%, coming over the 6.8% growth last year,” Mr. Sabnavis stated.