MK Stalin’s Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) may return to energy in Tamil Nadu after a decade, trouncing the ruling All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK), exit polls stated on Thursday. In Puducherry, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)’s alliance may have an higher hand, they stated.
TAMIL NADU
2016 outcomes: The ruling AIADMK gained 136 of all of the 234 seats within the state. The DMK bagged 89 of the 178 constituencies it contested. Its ally, the Congress, gained eight seats, whereas the Indian Union Muslim League (one other associate within the DMK’s coalition) gained one seat.
2021 predictions:
P-MARQ: DMK+ 165-190, AIADMK+ 40-65, AMMK+ 1-3
Republic CNX: DMK+ 160-170, AIADMK+ 58-68, AMMK+ 4-6
Today’s Chanakya: DMK+ 164-186, AIADMK+ 46-68
India Today-Axis: DMK+ 175-195, AIADMK+ 38-54
ABP CVoter: DMK+ 160-172, AIADMK+ 58-70
PUDUCHERRY
2016 outcomes: The Congress gained 15 seats, ally DMK two and an impartial one. The All India NR Congress secured eight and the AIADMK 4 of the state’s 30 seats. The BJP drew a naught.
2021 predictions:
Republic-CNX: BJP+ 16-20, Congress+ 11-13
ABP-CVoter: BJP+ 19-23, Congress+ 6-10
The southern battle
The meeting elections in Tamil Nadu are usually not solely essential as a result of they’ll put an finish to the talk on who sits on the throne for the subsequent 5 years but additionally as a result of they’ll decide the form of Dravidian politics within the absence of the charismatic J Jayalalithaa of the ruling AIADMK and the colossal M Karunanidhi of the DMK, based on political consultants.
The elections to the 234-Tamil Nadu meeting are additionally a barometer to gauge the recognition of chief minister Edappadi Palaniswami, or EPS, and DMK president Stalin, who’s his alliance’s chief ministerial candidate.
Stalin is hopeful of a “tsunami” in his favour and placing an finish to 10 years of the AIADMK rule. On the opposite hand, analysts say CM Palaniswami has steadied the AIADMK ship after a tumultuous section following Jayalalithaa’s dying in December 2016 by ending a bitter infighting. He has the assist of the BJP, which is trying to discover a foothold within the state.
Traditionally, the state has modified its authorities each 5 years, Jayalalithaa broke that cycle in 2016 by coming to energy for a second straight time period. Hence, Stalin, who accuses the federal government of corruption and non-delivery of fundamental amenities, fancies his possibilities this time round. But May 2 will determine who could have the final giggle.
The neighbouring Union Territory of Puducherry is vital to the BJP’s southern technique. According to analysts, a ballot victory in Puducherry could possibly be the springboard for the BJP to dive into the seat of energy in Tamil Nadu. They say the BJP’s plan could possibly be to usher in big improvement and infra tasks into the tiny UT, create jobs, and raise the usual of residing after making certain the victory of its alliance — earlier than going huge on Tamil Nadu.
Just earlier than the polls, in February, the Congress-led authorities in Puducherry misplaced a flooring take a look at after a sequence of defections.
Exit polls have gotten it fallacious usually up to now with a bit of analysts arguing that the temper of a handful of voters surveyed couldn’t characterize the true image.
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