ABP-CVoter Survey, Punjab Predictions: In Battle Between Congress & AAP, Where Does SAD, BJP Stand?

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ABP-CVoter Punjab Predictions: Though the Punjab Assembly election is sort of a 12 months away, present Chief Minister and Congress chief Captain Amarinder Singh set the ball rolling as he appointed the ballot strategist Prashant Kishor as his Principle Advisor.

Last time within the 2017 Punjab meeting election, the battle was two approach majorly between BJP – Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) alliance in opposition to Congress with Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) being an influencing a part of the polls. In 2022, this generally is a 4-way battle with BJP and SAD at variations because of the three Agri Bills there generally is a cut up, Congress and AAP would be the different contenders in state meeting polls. 

With infighting inside the Congress, the fracturing tie between BJP- SAD and the rising presence of AAP in Punjab, makes it an fascinating battle to observe. ABP News as a way to perceive how are the equations as of now within the state of Punjab performed a survey with C-Voter.

VOTE SHARE

For the 117 members of the Punjab Assembly, as per the most recent survey achieved by ABP News & C-Voter, the ruling Congress is shedding floor when it comes to vote share and AAP is making an enormous stride. If elections are to be held at this time, the ABP News C Voter survey means that Congress which bought 38.5% of the vote share in 2017 meeting polls, will probably be at 31.5% of vote share a direct lack of 7%. Let us take a look at the opposite gainers and losers in vote share share.

Parties 2017 Results 2021 Projection Swing
INC 38.5 31.5 -7.0
BJP 5.4 5.0 -0.4
AAP 23.7 36.5 12.8
SAD 25.2 21.3 -3.9
Others 7.1 5.7 -1.4

SEAT PROJECTIONS

Parkash Singh Badal led SAD misplaced the elections to Congress’ Captain Amarinder Singh as they had been solely in a position to get 15 seats and their alliance accomplice BJP had been in a position to fetch simply 3 meeting seats after contesting on 23 in 2017.

While Congress managed to get 77 seats and AAP 20 in 2017 Punjab Assembly Polls, allow us to take a look at the most recent seat projections as per the survey performed by ABP News and C Voter.

Parties 2017 Results 2021 Projection Change
INC 77 46 -31
BJP 3 2 -1
AAP 20 54 34
SAD 15 15 0
Others 2 0 -2

As you possibly can see, AAP shouldn’t be solely gaining main seats however is instantly denting Congress seats therefore pushing the probabilities of hung meeting as of now. The polling remains to be a 12 months away so permutations and combos can change drastically.

Issues like the continued Farmers’ Protest, which entails Punjab and Haryana farmers majorly, in opposition to the centre will decide the course of future motion for all of the political events in Punjab.

As of now, the ABP News-C Voter survey means that Congress projected seat vary will differ from 43 to 49, whereas AAP will have the ability to snag between 51 to 57 seats, SAD is pegged on the vary of 12 to 18 seats and BJP will fluctuate from 0 to five seats.  



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