Assam Election 2021: Polling for three-phase meeting polls in Assam concluded on April 6 and all eyes at the moment are set on the outcomes for the 126-member meeting to be declared on Sunday.
Chief Minister Sarbananda Sonowal-led Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is more likely to safe a second time period in workplace in a carefully fought contest.
The Congress shaped a “Grand Alliance” with 5 events in Assam however the exit polls knowledge present the coalition of opposition events will be unable to dislodge the incumbent BJP-led NDA within the state.
Assam recorded a mean voter turnout of 82.04 p.c within the three part elections held on March 27, April 1 and April 6.
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2016 Results Vs ABP C-Voter Exit Poll Projection
ABP News together with C-Voter carried out an Exit Poll to know the voters’ temper in Assam. As per the survey, the NDA’s vote share is anticipated to extend by just one p.c this time. The NDA, which obtained 41.9 p.c vote share within the 2016 meeting polls, is anticipated to get 42.9 p.c of the vote share this time.
The Congress-led UPA alternatively appears to be like to but once more set up its political foothold within the state. The survey suggests the UPA bagging round 48.8 p.c vote share versus a mere 31 p.c vote share within the final elections.
The others, nonetheless fail to make a mark this time because the survey suggests they’d be receiving simply 8.3 p.c vote share this time, which is a decline of 18.8 p.c in comparison with the final elections after they bagged 27.1 p.c vote share.
| Assam | Party Alliance: Votes | ||
| Alliance Votes: Assam | 2016 Results | 2021 Projection | Swing |
| NDA | 41.9 | 42.9 | 1 |
| UPA | 31 | 48.8 | 17.8 |
| Others | 27.1 | 8.3 | -18.8 |
| Total | 100 | 100 | 0 |
Seat Range
According to the survey carried out by C-Voter, the BJP-led NDA is anticipated to get round 65 seats within the 126-member meeting. The NDA bagged 74 seats within the final elections.
The UPA appears to be making vital inroads this time because the survey suggests 59 seats in its kitty, which is 20 seats greater than received in 2016.
From the NDA, the BJP contested 92 seats, United People’s Party Liberal fielded its candidates on eight seats and the Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) contested 26 seats.
On the opposite hand, the Congress entered the electoral contest from 94 seats, the AIUDF contested on 14 seats, Bodoland People’s Front fielded its candidates on 12 seats and the Communist Party of India (Marxist) fielded simply two candidates.
| Assam | Party Alliance: Seats | ||
| Alliance Seats: Assam | 2016 Results | 2021 Projection ( Mean Value of vary) | Change |
| NDA | 74 | 65 | -9 |
| UPA | 39 | 59 | 20 |
| Others | 13 | 2 | -11 |
| Total | 126 | 126 | 0 |
The majority mark in Assam is 64 seats.
[The present opinion poll / survey was conducted by C Voter Services Pvt. Ltd. The methodology used is Computer Assisted Telephonic Interviews [CATI] for Opinion Polls and Face to face methodology for Exit Poll and the pattern dimension for a similar is 2,30,500 (sum of all opinion and exit polls in all states) & the survey was carried out through the interval January 1, 2021, till the top of elections within the 5 states. The similar can be anticipated to have a margin of error of +/-3% at Macro degree and +/-5% at Micro Level and should not essentially have factored in all standards / points and was broadly based mostly upon solutions offered by the respondents through the interviews.]
