India’s Retail Inflation Marginally Eases To 6.44% in February Vs 6.52% In January

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India’s Retail Inflation Marginally Eases To 6.44% in February Vs 6.52% In January


Inflation in the meals basket, or the Consumer Food Price Index, was marginally as much as 5.95 per cent in February 2023.

CPI inflation in rural areas in February 2023 eases to six.72 per cent, whereas the retail inflation in city areas marginally will increase to six.10 per cent

Consumer costs in India has eased because the nation’s CPI inflation in February 2023 slight slowed to six.44 per cent. However, the retail inflation, primarily based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI), stays past the RBI’s tolerance restrict of 6 per cent for the second consecutive month.

The retail inflation had stood at 6.52 per cent in January 2023.

According to the most recent knowledge from the National Statistical Office (NSO), the retail inflation in rural areas eased to six.72 per cent in February from 6.85 per cent in January 2023, whereas that in city areas marginally elevated to six.10 per cent from 6 per cent final month.

Inflation in the meals basket, or the Consumer Food Price Index, was marginally as much as 5.95 per cent in February 2023, in contrast with 5.94 per cent in January 2023. The meals inflation is liable for almost half the CPI basket.

Suvodeep Rakshit, senior economist at Kotak Institutional Equities, mentioned, “February CPI inflation at 6.44 per cent, whereas elevated, is broadly in line with expectations. Cereals and milk inflation continues to be excessive whereas fruits inflation spiked additionally up in February. However, we see meals inflation softening in March 2023 primarily based on latest worth traits.”

He also said core inflation at 6.1 per cent remains elevated and sticky with relatively high inflation across clothing and footwear, health, personal care and effects, and household goods/services. Core inflation is the change in prices of goods and services, except energy and food.

“The RBI will remain hawkish in the April policy as inflation prints have spiked back over 6 per cent in January-February along with core inflation remaining sticky above 6 per cent. We continue to expect a 25-bps repo rate hike in the April policy,” Rakshit added.

Month-Wise CPI Inflation Rates In the Current Financial Year 2022-23:

April 2022: 7.79 per cent

May 2022: 7.04 per cent

June 2022: 7.01 per cent

July 2022: 6.71 per cent

August 2022: 7 per cent

September 2022: 7.41 per cent

October 2022: 6.77 per cent

November 2022: 5.88 per cent

December 2022: 5.72 per cent

January 2023: 6.52 per cent

February 2023: 6.44 per cent.

The RBI has been constantly rising the important thing repo charge in order to regulate inflation in the nation. It has raised the repo charge six occasions by 250 foundation factors in complete since May 2022 in order to regulate inflation. In the final MPC meet final month, the RBI raised the important thing repo charge by 25 foundation factors to six.50 per cent.

The RBI MPC will meet early subsequent month to determine on the additional plan of action on rate of interest.

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