India’s industrial output development slowed to 4.9% in March from 5.6% in February, as per the National Statistical Office, with base results from final March when output had tanked 1.9%, boosting the uptick. Mining output slid to a 19-month low development of 1.2%, whereas electrical energy era rose 8.6% from a 1.6% contraction in March 2023.
Manufacturing, which constitutes 77.6% of the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), grew at a five-month excessive tempo of 5.2% in March, relative to a gentle 1.5% uptick in the identical month final 12 months. Manufacturing development for February was revised downwards to 4.9% from 5% estimated earlier, together with the month’s IIP development which was downgraded from 5.7%.
Overall industrial output grew 5.8% in 2023-24, a tad larger than the 5.2% rise in the earlier 12 months, with manufacturing output rising 5.5% in contrast with 4.7% in 2022-23 and mining output accelerating by 7.5% final 12 months from a 5.8% rise in the previous 12 months. Electricity era grew 7.1% in 2023-24, easing from an 8.9% surge in the earlier 12 months.
Seven of 23 main manufacturing segments recorded a contraction in March, however as many as ten segments reported a drop in output by means of 2023-24, together with sporting attire (-14.2%), computer systems and electronics (-11.4%), furnishings (-6.9%), wooden merchandise (-5.9%), chemical compounds (-1.7%) and leather-based (-1.1%).
Consumer items remained the weakest performers by means of final 12 months, regardless of helpful base results. Consumer durables grew the weakest at 3.6% in contrast with a meagre 0.6% rise in 2022-23, whereas non-durables rose 4% vis-à-vis a 0.7% uptick in the earlier 12 months.
In March, client durables output recorded the sharpest surge for the second month in a row, rising 9.5%, albeit over an 8% contraction in March 2023. In February, that they had grown 12.3% relative to a 4.1% contraction a 12 months in the past. Consumer non-durables broke a two-month streak of contraction to rise 4.9%, however once more over a weak base from March 2023, once they shrank 1.9%.
“The consumption scenario remained mixed last year with urban demand showing resilience while rural demand continued to lag,” stated Rajani Sinha, CareEdge Ratings’ chief economist. While hopes of monsoon, moderating inflation, and pick-up in rural demand are positives, a broad-based and sturdy enchancment in consumption stays the important thing monitorable this 12 months, she burdened.
Infrastructure and building items continued to file wholesome development at 6.9% in March, whereas capital items development picked up to 6.1% from simply 1.2% in February. Intermediate items and first items rose 5.1% and a pair of.5%, respectively.
Over the total 12 months passed by, Infrastructure and Construction items recorded the strongest development of 9.6% over an 8.4% rise in 2022-23, adopted by capital items which grew 6.2% in contrast with a 13.1% rise in the earlier 12 months. Primary and intermediate items grew 6% and 5.2%, respectively.
Although a majority of high-frequency indicators have seen an uptick in April over March developments, ICRA chief economist Aditi Nayar stated she expects industrial output development to sluggish to round 3% to 4% in April owing to base results as the identical month had seen a 4.6% uptick in 2023.
In absolute phrases, the commercial output index was up 8.22% from February with a sequential rise in output recorded in Manufacturing, Mining and Electricity, in addition to the six end-use-based classifications of manufacturing unit output.