BHOPAL: The state of Madhya Pradesh is gearing up for a nail-biting Assembly ballot, scheduled to be held in direction of the top of this 12 months. Politically, the state stands on the crossroads and an in depth contest between the standard rivals — the Congress and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is on the playing cards. Though, the leaders within the ruling BJP would formally rule out the anti-incumbency of practically twenty years (aside from 15 months of Kamal Nath-led Congress authorities), however at time, additionally they point out that foot troopers of the occasion are already at work in all earnestness to beat the anti-incumbency of 4 phrases underneath Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan.
The Congress however has positioned itself on voter fatigue whereas elevating public points on which the BJP could face the warmth. The grand outdated occasion can be extra reliant on its counter methods with polls drawing nearer, and tall guarantees being made that the `Bachan Patra` (election manifesto) can be distinctive and can comprise all sections of society.
Senior Congress chief Rajendra Kumar Singh, who can be head of `Bachan Patra` committee of MP Congress, throughout an unique dialog with IANS claimed the ruling BJP would loss at the least three to 5 per cent votes because of lowering reputation of Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan, and that might be an additional edge for the Congress.
Singh famous: “The BJP would also accept this point that Shivraj Singh Chouhan`s popularity has decreased at least up to some extent and a clear evidence of this was seen in the 2018 Assembly elections. In 2018, the BJP had got 0.6 per cent more votes against the Congress, but in total number of seats, they (BJP) were five seats behind. This time, there would be a huge difference in both — total number of seats and the vote percentage. We are confident that the Congress will get four to five per cent more votes against the BJP this time.”
In 2018, out of whole 230 Assembly seats within the state, the Congress had received 114 whereas the BJP had received 109 seats. BSP and SP had received two and one seats respectively, whereas Independent candidates received 4 seats.
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In phrases of vote share, the BJP, with 41.02 per cent votes, had higher hand in opposition to Congress` 40.89 per cent. However, the Congress argue that it fielded candidates on 229 seats, leaving one seat – Jatara in Tikamgarh district – for the Sharad Yadav-led Loktantrik Janata Dal (LJD), and thus there was this distinction within the vote share.
When requested concerning the political arithmetic behind his assertion that Chouhan`s reputation has plunged, Singh claims: “In the last two-and-half years, Chouhan has not taken any step that can increase his popularity… He (Chouhan) has developed a good image among the people of Madhya Pradesh, but in the last two-and-half years of his current tenure as Chief Minister, he has completely surrendered to Prime Minister Narendra Modi. And as PM Modi`s popularity is now gradually falling, how can the BJP would win more seats than the Congress.”
On the opposite hand, the BJP will attempt to beat the anti-incumbency issue by intense involvement of its two fashionable faces — Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Union Home Minister Amit Shah through the election marketing campaign.
“Anti-incumbency will of course be a factor, but elections are not fought on just one factor. More importantly, the leadership quality is a factor that plays bigger role in winning elections… the BJP has charismatic leader – Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Let the elections come, things will be clear then,” says a senior BJP chief.