The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Tuesday mentioned that the nation will witness normal rains through the upcoming monsoon season despite the evolving El Nino conditions.
IMD forecast has come simply days after a personal forecasting company, Skymet Weather, predicted “below-normal” monsoon rains within the nation.
A very good monsoon is a vital issue for the Indian agriculture business as 52 % of the online cultivated space depends on this methodology.
What is El Nino?
El Nino, which is the warming of the waters within the Pacific Ocean close to South America, is mostly related to the weakening of monsoon winds and dry climate in India.
“India to see normal rainfall during the southwest monsoon season (from June to September). It is likely to be 96 per cent (with an error margin of 5 per cent) of the long-period average of roughly 87 cm,” M Ravichandran, Secretary, Ministry of Earth Sciences, mentioned at a press convention.
There is a 67 per cent chance of normal to above normal rainfall, mentioned M Mohapatra, Director General of Meteorology, IMD.
Starting 2019, India has already seen 4 consecutive years of normal and above-normal rains through the monsoon season.
Mohapatra mentioned normal to below-normal rainfall is predicted over components of northwest India, west-central and northeast areas through the southwest monsoon season.
“Normal rainfall is likely over many parts of the peninsular region, adjoining the east-central, east, northeast areas and some parts of northwest India,” he mentioned.
The Met division head mentioned El Nino conditions are possible to develop through the monsoon season and its impression could also be felt within the second half.
Mohapatra, nevertheless, added that not all El Nino years are dangerous monsoon years and that 40 per cent of the El Nino years up to now (1951-2022) obtained normal to above-normal monsoon rainfall.
(With inputs from PTI)
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