OPINION | EXIT POLLS ARE IN, LET US WAIT FOR EXACT RESULTS

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OPINION | EXIT POLLS ARE IN, LET US WAIT FOR EXACT RESULTS


Image Source : INDIA TV Rajat Sharma

Exit polls for the 5 state meeting elections, for which counting will happen on December 3, have are available in. Some of the exit ballot projections are shocking. India TV-CNX exit ballot projection exhibits, BJP might get a virtually two-third landslide victory in Madhya Pradesh with 140 to 159 seats. Congress might get solely 70 to 80 seats, says the exit ballot. For Rajasthan, too, the exit ballot projection is a bit shocking. Congress might retain energy in that state regardless of a neck-to-neck battle with BJP. The projection says, Congress might get 94 to 104 seats and will keep forward of BJP which can get 80 to 90 seats.  The exit ballot projection for Chhattisgarh isn’t a surprise and Congress might retain energy with a transparent majority. There is sweet information for Congress from Telangana. The get together might come to energy for the primary time since Telangana achieved statehood. If the projection proves to be true, Chief Minister Ok. Chandrashekhar Rao can be on his manner out after ruling the state for a decade. The exit ballot projection for Mizoram exhibits a hung meeting within the north-eastern state. Already reactions have began pouring in.


 

MADHYA PRADESH

An elated Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan, who was combating together with his again to the wall, mentioned, he was assured for the reason that starting that his get together would win 125-150 seats. He attributed this to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s management and his authorities’s Ladli Behna, Ladli Lakshmi and Teerth Darshan Yojana schemes. Congress chief Kamal Nath took to Twitter and wrote, “the nation is run by vision, and not by television…When counting starts on December 3, the people of MP will put their seal of approval to a Congress government.” If BJP retains energy, it will likely be a giant victory for Shivraj Singh Chouhan. BJP management was nervous concerning the ‘fatigue factor’ that was anticipated as a result of Chouhan has dominated as CM for 18 years. It was due to this that BJP didn’t challenge Chouhan as its chief minister this time. Chouhan took this as a problem. He toiled laborious, addressed greater than 150 public conferences. He went to every district and meeting constituency, and focussed on girls voters together with his enticing schemes. This was the explanation why there was a quantum leap within the variety of girls who forged their votes this time, and this might show advantageous for BJP. If the exit ballot proves right, Chouhan’s stature in his get together will certainly rise and his declare for the CM’s throne will turn out to be stronger. On the opposite hand, if the outcomes match with exit ballot projection, they may act as a speed-breaker for the political careers of Kamal Nath and Digvijaya Singh.

 

CHHATTISGARH

The state of affairs is completely different in neighbouring Chhattisgarh. Congress CM Bhupesh Baghel, pleased with exit ballot projections, says, his get together will get extra seats than projected. Though exit polls give Congress a majority, there’s not a lot distinction between vote share projections of Congress (43 computer) and BJP (41 computer). Though Bhupesh Baghel is once more the frontrunner this time for the CM’s submit, T. S. Singhdeo can also be a powerful claimant. In the final elections, the Congress excessive command had struck a two and a half 12 months deal for each, but it surely was not carried out. On Thursday, Singhdeo mentioned, ‘let the results come, and then the high command will decide’. In Chhattisgarh, the BJP lacked a powerful management and its group is fragmented. Bhupesh Baghel started his ballot preparations a 12 months in the past, the get together backed him and he carried out paddy buy, and cow dung buy schemes to draw farmers. If Congress will get a transparent majority, Baghel will proceed as chief minister. I believe, T S Singhdeo must wait.

 

RAJASTHAN

BJP management had excessive hopes in Rajasthan, however exit polls point out a repeat of Congress rule. Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot’s magic may fit. This time too, small events might play an necessary position. Exit polls have predicted 14 to 18 seats for independents and small events. In vote share projections, each Congress(43 computer) and BJP (42 computer) are neck-to-neck. Last time, Mayawati’s BSP had received six seats, however Gehlot took all of the six MLAs in his get together. If Gehlot wins, Rajasthan will break a 30-year-old document of not repeating any get together to rule after 5 years. On Thursday, Gehlot mentioned, there was no anti-incumbency wave or anger in opposition to the CM, however the abusive language utilized by BJP leaders in opposition to the Congress, helped his get together. Gehlot made one necessary level. He mentioned, the way through which BJP tried to polarize voters on traces of faith, may have an effect on the outcomes, however even when BJP succeeds, it will likely be the Congress which is able to kind the federal government. On the opposite hand, BJP leaders claimed that the get together will win greater than 135 seats this time and can dislodge Gehlot from energy. The Congress excessive command gave Gehlot a free hand in the course of the election marketing campaign, however BJP management delayed in bringing Vasundhara Raje on the dais. This led to confusion amongst BJP supporters, and Gehlot took benefit of this.

 

TELANGANA

Exit ballot projections predict KCR could also be on his manner out and Congress might kind authorities. India TV-CNX exit ballot tasks 63-79 seats for Congress, and 31-47 seats for KCR’s get together BRS. Vote share projections present, Congress’ share might get a 14 per cent leap, whereas BRS’ vote share might drop by 9 computer to 38 per cent. Telangana state was fashioned throughout UPA rule, however Congress by no means took credit score for it. It was KCR who took the complete credit score. Last time, KCR was so assured that he preponed the meeting polls by a 12 months, however this time, the image seems to be completely different. Telangana Congress chief Revantha Reddy is assured of forming a brand new authorities. He has even mounted December 9 because the date of his swearing-in. But KCR’s ally AIMIM chief Asaduddin Owaisi rejected the exit ballot projections and mentioned KCR will retain energy on December 3. Winds of change had been already blowing in Telangana for the final one 12 months. Congress leaders put of their greatest efforts, and managed to get assist of Muslim voters, who had been hitherto supporting BRS, due to Owaisi.

 

MIZRORAM

In Mizoram, exit ballot projection exhibits a hung meeting, however Chief Minister Zoramthanga’s Mizo National Front is main with 14-18 seats, adopted by Zoram People’s Movement with 12-16 seats. Congress might get solely 8-10  and BJP might get two seats.

 

The present meeting elections are being projected as a ‘semi-final’ for subsequent 12 months’s Lok Sabha elections. If Congress varieties authorities in Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Telangana, opposition events, together with the Congress, might declare that there’s a nationwide wave in opposition to Narendra Modi. But I wish to remind them about what occurred 5 years in the past. In 2018, Congress received meeting polls in MP, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh, and misplaced in Telangana, however 5 months later, when Lok Sabha elections came about, BJP made a clear sweep of all 25 Lok Sabha seats in Rajasthan. It received 28 out of 29 seats in MP, and 9 out of 11 seats in Chhattisgarh. I believe, no matter outcomes that will come on,  it’s troublesome to say confidently that these outcomes will forged a shadow over subsequent 12 months’s parliamentary elections. Though exit ballot tasks aren’t precisely outcomes, allow us to all watch for December 3, when the precise outcomes will are available in. India TV has made particular preparations for stay telecast of counting in all 5 states on December 3. My whole workforce of reporters and producers can be there on Sunday from 6 am onwards, with new and trendy graphics. There can be panels of consultants. Do watch the election outcomes LIVE on December 3 with me from 6 am onwards.

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