Bihar is at present witnessing swiftly altering political dynamics with robust indications that Chief Minister Nitish Kumar might swap camps and be part of BJP-led NDA. At the Republic Day perform in Patna on Friday, Deputy Chief Minister Tejashwi Yadav didn’t sit within the chair positioned close to the Chief Minister, and opted to sit down at a distance along with his celebration chief and Assembly Speaker Awadh Bihari Chaudhary. Nitish Kumar and Tejashwi Yadav didn’t converse to one another all through the perform, resulting in speculations of an imminent parting of the way between the 2. On Thursday, there have been hectic parleys in JD(U), RJD and BJP camps, with Home Minister Amit Shah holding a gathering with senior celebration leaders in Delhi.
Nitish Kumar has directed all his celebration MLAs to assemble in Patna by Friday night and all scheduled celebration applications have been cancelled. There was stress in JD(U) and RJD camps on Thursday when RJD supremo Lalu Prasad Yadav’s daughter Rohini Acharya posted a collection of tweets, not directly attacking Nitish (with out naming him) and later deleted the tweets on X platform. Nitish Kumar has determined to avoid Rahul Gandhi’s Bharat Jodo Nyay Yatra rally in Purnea on January 30, and as an alternative has reportedly opted to attend Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s rally in Bettiah on February 4. A top-level assembly was held in Delhi between Prime Minister Modi, Amit Shah and BJP chief J P Nadda on Wednesday night to debate the professionals and cons of becoming a member of fingers with Nitish Kumar in Bihar.
Nadda has cancelled his scheduled Kerala tour and BJP leaders from Bihar have been referred to as to Delhi. With stories coming that the RJD might attempt to wean away some JD(U) legislators, speculations are rife on whether or not Nitish Kumar will choose to affix NDA and show his majority within the Assembly, or whether or not he might ask the Governor to dissolve the meeting. All choices are presently being labored out. Looking on the total state of affairs, one factor is obvious. It doesn’t matter the least to Nitish Kumar whether or not he joins BJP camp or continues to stick with Lalu Yadav. Nitish’s sole goal is to make sure that his throne should stay intact. But Lalu Yadav is placing stress on him to stop and make manner for his son Tejashwi to turn out to be the chief minister. If BJP guarantees the CM’s submit to Nitish Kumar, the latter can be greater than keen to affix the BJP camp. Nitish Kumar is aware of, each Lalu and BJP want his help, and whichever camp he might select to affix, will profit.
Nitish Kumar needs the BJP to return ahead with a concrete promise that he’ll proceed as chief minister. As of now, there isn’t any drawback in BJP agreeing to the continuance of Nitish as CM, however the moot level is: Where lies the impediment? The drawback lies in easy arithmetic. Bihar meeting has a complete of 243 members, and 122 is the magic quantity required for proving majority contained in the House. BJP has 78 MLAs, Nitish’s JD(U) has 45, Jitanram Majhi’s celebration has 4 MLAs. Adding all three, the full involves a snug 127, 5 greater than the required majority. But Lalu Yadav can play his card. He can attempt to break the JD(U). Lalu’s RJD has 79 MLAs, Congress has 19, Left events have 16 and there are two different MLAs. Adding all these numbers, the full involves 116. Support of six extra MLAs is required to show majority. Nitish Kumar is apprehensive that Lalu might wean away a few of his MLAs, or power among the MLAs to resign. The Speaker is near Lalu Yadav, and Lalu might attempt to take benefit. This can jumble all arithmetic figures. One choice is to dissolve the meeting, however there may be little time left. BJP doesn’t seem like prepared for this. Time is of the essence. Anything that’s going to occur, should be performed as quickly as attainable. Amit Shah has few choices left earlier than him.
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