Second COVID-19 Wave Poses Downside Risk To Economic Activity: Finance Ministry

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The second wave of Covid-19 in India poses a draw back danger to financial exercise within the first quarter of FY22, the Finance ministry has stated in its Monthly Economic Review Report for April 2021. However, the federal government expects a “muted economic impact” of the second wave in comparison with first wave.

The second wave in India is witnessing a better caseload, with new peaks of every day instances, every day deaths and positivity charges. Many components of India have been severely hit by the swift unfold of the second wave, with instances reaching new highs with every passing day. The complete variety of energetic instances have surged previous the 35-lakh mark, accounting for 17 per cent of the full infections, whereas restoration is hovering round 82 p.c. And the every day new deaths are nearly 3 occasions increased than the primary wave.

The momentum in financial restoration because the first wave moderated in April because of the second wave in India and this undoubtedly presents a problem to ongoing financial restoration. The Finance Ministry has nevertheless expressed confidence that “Learning to operate with Covid-19, as borne by international experience, provides a silver lining of economic resilience amidst the second waves,”

Agriculture is one sector that stands out amid the Covid gloom, with document foodgrain manufacturing estimated within the ensuing crop 12 months on the again of predicted regular monsoons. India is ready to have the third consecutive regular monsoon this 12 months, with the India Meteorological Department predicting a standard southwest monsoon within the June-September interval.



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