US Dollar Edges Higher as GDP, Jobless Claims Affirm Rate Hike Bets

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US Dollar Edges Higher as GDP, Jobless Claims Affirm Rate Hike Bets


Last Updated: April 28, 2023, 02:41 IST

22 central banks have their currencies pegged to the US greenback. (Representative picture/Reuters)

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast GDP rising at a 2.0% fee

The greenback rose on Thursday as weaker-than-expected U.S. financial development within the first quarter is considered as not prone to deter the Federal Reserve from elevating rates of interest subsequent week.

The advance estimate of first-quarter gross home product (GDP) confirmed a 1.1 p.c annualized fee through the interval. The economic system grew at a 2.6 p.c tempo within the fourth quarter. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast GDP rising at a 2.0 p.c fee.

However, traders targeted on the quarterly inflation quantity throughout the GDP report. Core private consumption expenditure costs rose 4.9 p.c within the first three months of the yr, increased than the 4.7 p.c consensus and up from the fourth quarter determine.

“The weaker growth outlook is telling us that the Fed is going to struggle to keep on hiking interest rates without crushing the economy,” stated Amo Sahota, director at FX consulting agency Klarity FX in San Francisco.

“But the conundrum of what to do with inflation is still persistent. The Fed has been telling us that for a long time. So that (core PCE) number just hardened the fact that we’re going to have a rate hike next week,” he added.

Markets have priced in a 90 p.c likelihood of a 25 basis-point fee improve on the May coverage assembly, with a pause factored in after that.

A separate report from the Labor Department on Thursday confirmed preliminary claims for state unemployment advantages decreased 16,000 to a seasonally adjusted 230,000 for the week ending April 22. Economists had anticipated 248,000 claims within the newest week.

The report prompt a still-tight labor market and in addition underpinned subsequent week’s fee improve expectations.

In afternoon buying and selling, the greenback rose 0.2 p.c towards the yen to 134 yen as the Bank of Japan started a two-day coverage assembly, the primary beneath new governor Kazuo Ueda.

The market consensus is that Ueda will depart ultra-easy coverage settings unchanged on Friday, however nobody is prepared to rule out one other shock just like the shock doubling of the 10-year bond yield band in December.

The greenback index rose 0.1 p.c to 101.50.

The euro, in the meantime, slipped 0.1 to $1.1024.

Eurozone outperformance has been a key issue for the euro. Germany once more revised upward development forecasts on Wednesday, and a survey confirmed a continued pickup in client confidence.

Currency bid costs at 2:56PM (1856 GMT)

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(This story has not been edited by News18 workers and is printed from a syndicated information company feed)



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