Yogendra Yadav vs Prashant Kishor: Whose Election Prediction Hit The Mark?

The Lok Sabha election outcomes got here as a shocker to many, because the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) didn’t safe the essential 272 seats wanted for a majority.None of the exit polls precisely predicted the variety of seats the occasion would possibly win. However, Indian activist, psephologist, and politician Yogendra Yadav’s seat estimations carefully matched the precise outcomes introduced on Tuesday. On the opposite hand, political strategist Prashant Kishor’s forecasts didn’t even come near tomorrow’s mandate for the BJP however fared true for Congress.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s BJP, which secured 282 seats in 2014 and 303 within the 2019 election, received 240 seats this time.  

Yogendra Yadav’s Predictions For 2024 Polls  

Since the start of the Lok Sabha elections, the BJP has coined the slogan ‘Abki Baar 400 Paar’. However, in his prediction movies, Yadav quashed these claims and labelled them as far-fetched.  

“While the BJP’s promise of 400 seats was tenuous, it will be challenging for them to win even 300 seats. (400 paar wali baat to total hawaii thi, 300 paar karna bhi BJP k liye namumkin hoga).” He additional mentioned that the BJP will battle to surpass 260 seats and that reaching 300 seats shall be practically not possible.  

Yogendra Yadav additionally anticipated a big impression from the INDIA bloc.  

Predictions have been as follows:  

BJP: 240–260 seats  

NDA: 35–45 seats  

Congress: 85–100 seats  

INDIA bloc: 120–135 seats

PK’s Predictions For 2024 Polls  

Aligning with many of the exit ballot claims, Indian political strategist Prashant Kishor, also known as PK, had earlier forecasted a decisive win for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) within the upcoming 18th Lok Sabha elections.  

During his interactions with the media, Kishor conveyed sturdy confidence that the ruling occasion would obtain a majority and set up the subsequent authorities independently, with no need its coalition companions. However, the precise vote counts advised a unique story.  

Kishor thought the BJP would in all probability get the identical or extra seats than they did in 2019, once they received 303 seats. He talked about that though the BJP may not get to 370 seats or the NDA’s purpose of over 400 seats, they need to goal for at the very least 272 seats to have a majority. Kishor predicted that Congress would get fewer than 100 seats, which appears correct with vote counting exhibiting the occasion getting round 98–99 seats.