NEW DELHI: The anticipation surrounding the 2024 Lok Sabha elections has reached a fever pitch as your complete nation eagerly awaits to witness the political spectacle unfold. Top events have equipped with fervour, and amidst this political frenzy, the section of speculations has begun, with the announcement of election dates looming on the horizon. Amid this ambiance, Zee News and MATRIZE have carried out an opinion ballot, marking the primary such ballot after the formation of alliances, together with the becoming a member of of recent allies with the NDA and the emergence of the opposition’s INDIA bloc.
Poll Statistics
The Zee News-MATRIZE Lok Sabha Opinion Poll was carried out between February fifth and February twenty seventh. It garnered opinions from 1,67,843 people throughout 543 Lok Sabha seats, together with 87,000 males and 54,000 girls. Additionally, the ballot included the views of 27,000 first-time voters. The margin of error within the ballot outcomes is plus or minus 2 per cent. It’s vital to notice that these should not election outcomes however merely an opinion ballot, and no try needs to be made to affect the elections based mostly on these findings.
What Is The National Scenario?
According to the Zee News-MATRIZE ballot, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is poised to safe a major majority if elections had been held immediately. The survey signifies a sweeping victory for the NDA in main areas of North, East, and West India. However, the southern states appear inclined in the direction of the Opposition INDIA bloc, as per the survey outcomes. This disparity underscores the regional dynamics at play in Indian politics.
PM Modi’s Big Southern Push Failing?
The Zee News-MATRIZE Lok Sabha Opinion Poll highlights a difficult state of affairs for the Narendra Modi-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) within the southern states of India. Despite efforts by Prime Minister Modi and the BJP to broaden their presence within the area, aside from Karnataka, the saffron celebration’s penetration stays restricted forward of the Lok Sabha polls.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi launched into a major southern push with visits to Kerala and Tamil Nadu on February 27-28, marking his third go to to the area this 12 months. This proactive strategy underscores the significance of the southern states within the electoral calculus of the BJP.
Earlier within the 12 months, PM Modi kickstarted his southern tour by visiting Tamil Nadu, Lakshadweep, and Kerala on January 2-3. During this go to, he inaugurated developmental tasks price important investments. Additionally, PM Modi undertook an in depth 11-day tour of South India, visiting temples related to the Ramayana forward of the inauguration of the Ram Mandir in Ayodhya on January 22. In his current two-day journey, the Prime Minister expressed confidence within the BJP’s electoral prospects, predicting “double-digit” victories in Kerala and historic achievements in Tamil Nadu within the 2024 elections.
BJP’s Targets 370
The BJP’s efficiency within the southern states in the course of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections was comparatively modest, with the celebration securing solely 29 out of 127 seats throughout Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Telangana, and the Union Territory of Lakshadweep. Notably, the vast majority of these victories got here from Karnataka and Telangana, with the celebration failing to make important inroads in Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and Andhra Pradesh.
In the upcoming polls, the BJP’s strategic focus lies on 84 seats categorized as ‘weak,’ which the celebration has traditionally struggled to win. Securing victories in these constituencies is essential for the BJP to realize its formidable goal of 370 seats for the celebration and over 400 seats for the NDA, as articulated by Prime Minister Modi throughout a current rally in Jammu and Kashmir. Interestingly, there are speculations inside the BJP relating to PM Modi’s frequent visits to the south, fueling rumours of his potential candidacy from a constituency in Tamil Nadu or a neighbouring state, along with his stronghold in Varanasi.
State-Wise Analysis Of Zee News-MATRIZE Poll
West Bengal: The Trinamool Congress, below the management of Mamata Banerjee, is anticipated to keep up its dominance in West Bengal, with predictions indicating victory in 24 Lok Sabha seats. The BJP is anticipated to safe round 17 seats, whereas the INDIA alliance is projected to win simply 1 seat.
Ladakh and Lakshadweep: The NDA is anticipated to emerge victorious in Ladakh, whereas the INDIA bloc is prone to triumph in Lakshadweep.
Chandigarh, Andaman, Goa, Dadra And Nagar Haveli: These areas are poised to witness victories for the NDA.
North East: The NDA is predicted to safe 10 seats, whereas the INDIA bloc might clinch 1 seat. Assam, specifically, is anticipated to favor the NDA with a projected victory in 11 out of 14 seats.
Tamil Nadu: The opinion ballot forecasts 1 seat for the NDA and a major haul of 36 seats for the Congress in Tamil Nadu.
Kerala: The INDIA bloc is anticipated to comb all 20 seats in Kerala, highlighting the stronghold of regional events within the state.
Telangana: The ballot predicts 5 seats for the BJP and 9 seats for the Congress in Telangana, indicating a aggressive electoral panorama.
Karnataka: The NDA is projected to achieve momentum in Karnataka, with estimates indicating victory in 23 seats, whereas the Congress is anticipated to safe 5 seats.
Andhra Pradesh: The YSRCP is anticipated to safe 19 seats, with the TDP projected to win 6 seats, whereas the BJP and Congress might not safe any seats within the state.
The Zee News-MATRIZE Lok Sabha Opinion Poll gives beneficial insights into the potential outcomes of the upcoming elections. While the NDA appears to get pleasure from a stronghold in a number of areas, the southern states current a formidable problem. As the nation braces itself for the electoral battle, these ballot findings function a basis for additional evaluation and hypothesis, guiding political methods within the run-up to the elections.
